Archives

Basics: A template for Inter-City spreads

By blogadmin - Last updated: Wednesday, November 7, 2012

I mentioned in an earlier blog that Inter-City spread markets might be a good opportunity to express relative value views, and to promote trading.   While the CME website has a pull-down menu that shows inter-city quotes (click here), they … Read More

Basics -CUS: Review of components/ Fair Value

By blogadmin - Last updated: Tuesday, June 5, 2012

I mentioned in my month-end report (click here) that the longer-dated CUS contracts were trading 1-2 points rich to fair value.  That prompted a question of “what’s fair value”.

The following table show that the  CUS (10-city) index … Read More

Basics: WDC revisions -impact on trading?

By blogadmin - Last updated: Monday, March 12, 2012

Two weeks ago, when the Case Shiller index numbers for December were released, I mentioned that the WDC index came in dramatically lower than expected by the Feb ’12 contract prices.  I noted then that the WDC index had been … Read More

Basics – Spread trading (using CUS)

By blogadmin - Last updated: Tuesday, January 11, 2011

One way to trade Home Price contracts is on spread trades.  This allows one to trade on the eventual price difference between two contracts.   While trading spreads results in no net position (a spread trade results in a long in … Read More

Basics -Home Price quote systems (Bloomberg, etc.)

By blogadmin - Last updated: Wednesday, January 5, 2011

“They” say that you can’t tell the players without a scorecard.  I’ve had the question asked -where do I get a “scorecard”?  That is, how do I follow the prices on these contracts.

While this should probably fall under the … Read More

Basic -Year End Prices

By blogadmin - Last updated: Saturday, January 1, 2011

Here’s a table of year-end bids and offers for the CUS Home Price futures. 

Trades on Dec 31st helped tighten up Boston quotes. 

Four contracts (BOS, CUS, NYM and SFR) now have quotes for all expirations.

The average bid/asked spread … Read More

Basics -Implied HPA using prices

By blogadmin - Last updated: Thursday, December 23, 2010

Many housing economists and traders prefer to quote home price changes in terms of HPA (annualized Home Price Appreciation).  For a one-year holding period this is simply the (End Price/Begin Price)-1 expressed in percentage terms.  

For longer periods one must … Read More

Basics -Mid v Close

By blogadmin - Last updated: Monday, December 20, 2010

A number of first time visitors to trading in home price futures may be curious as to why quotes reference the “Mid” rather than the “Close” price.  After all if they are MBS traders they are used to seeing the … Read More

Basics: Marketing Piece

By blogadmin - Last updated: Thursday, September 30, 2010

I’ve pulled together a short marketing piece in time for the NBEA conference and ABS EAST.  (see attached).  Readers who follow this blog should recognize most of the pages.  As my goal is to get the word out, please feel … Read More

Basics -Calendar Spreads

By blogadmin - Last updated: Wednesday, September 22, 2010

Calendar spreads may be a useful tool for trading or interpreting the boundaries of HPA (Home Price Appreciation) expectations.

Using the 10-city CUS contract as an example I’ve put together an illustration (some are not real prices) of a series … Read More