Archive for the ‘Blog’ Category.

Inter City Spreads for Longer Expirations -4 Nov ’17 IC spreads

Friday I teed up ten intercity day orders for the May ’13 contracts.  While I’m open to continuing that discussion, today I want to focus on the other end of the expirations -the Nov ’17 contracts.

Unlike the May ’13 … Read More

May 2013 CUS Intercity Quotes – All 1 point Bid/Ask

To illustrate the potential of inter-city spread trades, I’ve posted 1.0 point bid/ask quotes for all ten CUS vs. Regional markets for the May 2013 (K13) contract that expires on May 27th. 

Inter-city spreads allow a trader to express a … Read More

May ’13 contracts – 3 weeks to go

With the May ’13 expiration in just three weeks, and a handful of recent K13 trades (LAV, MIA, NYM), I thought that it might make sense to focus on front-contract markets.

The following table shows the recent history of each … Read More

Recap post CS #’s, April Month-end report

Prices for Case Shiller futures largely tracked changes in the index numbers released Tuesday (April 30th) morning.  The California markets were generally stronger, while DEN and CHI lagged on weaker index numbers.  Mid-market levels for the California (and LAV, MIA) … Read More

April 22 price updates, front contract table

With about one week to go until the April 30th release of the February Case Shiller indices, I thought that it might make sense to update price tables and graphs.  While volume has been near zero there’s been a relentless … Read More

InterCIty Spread CUS v CHI 50.0/51.0

To illustrate the potential use and impact of inter-city spread quotes I’ve posted a 50.0/51.0 bid/ask set of quotes for the CUS/CHIX13 inter-city spread.  (Click here to jump to the CME DataSuite page showing the quote or look for links … Read More

Report recapping March CME Case Shiller futures markets

A 16-page report highlighting many aspects of the CME Case Shiller futures markets (e.g. volume, bid/ask spread, price changes) is available in the Reports section or by clicking here

Trading picked up (albeit to still low levels), open interest rose … Read More

Recap of price changes post March release of CS #’s

The Case Shiller indices for Jan 2013 were released on Tuesday March 26th.  Much of the reaction in the CME prices was concentrated in the front (May 2013) contracts.  (A table of before- and after- prices for the CUS contracts … Read More

A different perspective on Northeast vs. California markets

I have been accused of trashing the recent and forward-looking performance of the Northeast markets (relative to California) over the last few months.   While I’ve highlighted that implied one-year forwards, and longer-term HPAs for LAX, SDG and SFR are higher … Read More

Early front contract tension -tight bid/ask

While sometimes it seems that traders wait for the front contract to have weeks to expiration before showing tighter quotes, trading this cycle looks to be different -and better.  Thanks to broader participation, widths of bid/ask spreads for the front … Read More